🎫Settlement System

Winner-Takes-All Mechanics

At market expiration, the oracle captures final asset price and compares to opening price:

  • Closing > Opening: LONG/YES wins entirely

  • Closing < Opening: SHORT/NO wins entirely

  • Closing = Opening: TIE—all stakes returned with no fees deducted

Important: Magnitude doesn't matter. A 0.1% increase and a 10% increase both result in LONG/YES winning completely. Only direction matters.

Beginner Mode: Winning pool receives 99% of losing pool (1% settlement fee), distributed by weighted stakes.

Standard Mode: Each winning share pays $0.99 ($1.00 minus 1% settlement fee). Each losing share pays $0.

Ties (Rare):

  • Beginner Mode: All participants receive original stakes back (entry fees not refunded since trades were executed)

  • Standard Mode: All shares expire at intrinsic value, collateral returned proportionally (trading fees not refunded)

Performance Calculations

Beginner Mode Settlement Formula

Step 1: Calculate Individual Performance

  • Performance % = (Closing Price - Your Entry Price) / Your Entry Price

  • This captures how much price movement you personally captured

Step 2: Calculate Weighted Stake

  • Weighted Stake = Your Net Stake × Performance %

  • Better entry timing = higher weighted stake

Step 3: Calculate Your Distribution

  • Your Share = Available Prize × (Your Weighted Stake / Total Weighted Stakes)

  • Available Prize = Losing Pool × 99%

Step 4: Calculate Total Return

  • Total Return = Your Share + Original Net Stake

  • You get back your original stake PLUS your portion of winnings

Standard Mode Settlement

Simple and direct:

  • Each winning share pays $0.99 ($1.00 minus 1% settlement fee)

  • Each losing share pays $0

  • No weighted calculations

Example Settlement:

User A bought 1,000 YES shares at 62¢:

  • Total cost: $620 + $1.55 fee = $621.55

  • If YES wins: Receives $1,000 gross

  • Settlement fee: $10 (1% of $1,000)

  • Net payout: $990

  • Profit: $990 - $621.55 = $368.45 (59.3% ROI)

User B bought 2,000 YES shares at 45¢:

  • Total cost: $900 + $2.25 fee = $902.25

  • If YES wins: Receives $2,000 gross

  • Settlement fee: $20 (1% of $2,000)

  • Net payout: $1,980

  • Profit: $1,980 - $902.25 = $1,077.75 (119.5% ROI)

User B achieved higher ROI by buying shares at lower price (45¢ vs 62¢), regardless of entry timing.

Fee Structure

Platform Fees:

  • Trading Fee: 0.25% on each transaction

  • Settlement Fee: 1% of winnings only (not deducted on losses or ties)

Beginner Mode:

  • 0.25% deducted from stake on entry

  • 1% settlement fee deducted from losing pool before distribution

  • Net effective cost: ~1.25% for losers, 0.25% for winners

Standard Mode:

  • 0.25% fee on each trade (buy and sell)

  • 1% settlement fee on gross winnings only

  • Net effective cost: 0.25%-0.5% in trading fees + 1% settlement fee on profits

No Fees on Ties: When closing price equals opening price, all stakes/shares are returned with no fees deducted.

Example Fee Calculation (Beginner Mode):

  • User enters $1,000 LONG position

  • Entry fee: $1,000 × 0.25% = $2.50

  • Net stake: $997.50

  • If loses: Loses $1,000 total (including entry fee)

  • If wins with SHORT pool at $32,000:

  • Settlement fee: $32,000 × 1% = $320

  • Available to winners: $31,680

  • Receive share of $31,680 + original $997.50

Example Fee Calculation (Standard Mode):

  • User buys 1,000 YES shares at 60¢ = $600

  • Trading fee: $600 × 0.25% = $1.50

  • Total cost: $601.50

  • If loses: Loses $601.50 total

  • If wins: Receives $1,000 gross

  • Settlement fee: $1,000 × 1% = $10

  • Net payout: $990

  • Profit: $990 - $601.50 = $388.50

No Hidden Fees:

  • No subscription costs

  • No withdrawal charges (except blockchain gas)

  • Transparent and enforced by smart contracts

  • All fees disclosed before transaction confirmation


5. Risk Management

User Protection

Position Limits (Beta Phase):

  • Minimum: $10 per market

  • Maximum: $10,000 per market

  • Prevents catastrophic losses while allowing meaningful participation

  • Limits may be adjusted post-beta based on platform maturity

Educational Requirements: New users must review mechanics before first trade, acknowledging understanding of:

  • Winner-takes-all outcomes

  • Entry-weighted distribution (Beginner Mode)

  • Share-based trading (Standard Mode)

  • Locked commitment (Beginner Mode)

  • Fee structure (0.25% trading, 1% settlement)

  • Different market timeframes

  • Beta position limits ($10-$10,000)

Diversification Monitoring: Platform alerts when taking concentrated exposure (e.g., multiple cryptocurrency hourly markets simultaneously). Doesn't prevent positions but ensures informed decisions.

Cooling-Off Periods: Suggested breaks after significant losses (3 consecutive losses in one day). Suggestion only, not restriction.

Slippage Warnings (Standard Mode): System displays estimated slippage for large market orders. Auto-suggests TWAP for orders over $5,000.

Timeframe Warnings: Platform highlights risk differences:

  • Hourly: High volatility, rapid price changes

  • Daily: Moderate volatility, overnight risk

  • Weekly: Lower volatility, multi-day trends

  • Monthly: Long-term commitment, significant capital lockup

Security and Integrity

Smart Contract Security:

  • Audited by leading blockchain security firms

  • Open-source code for community review

  • Multi-signature governance controls

  • Regular security audits and penetration testing

  • Active bug bounty program

Oracle Security:

  • Multiple independent data sources for each asset class

  • Cryptocurrencies: CoinMarketCap, CoinGecko, Binance, Coinbase price feeds

  • Stocks (Coming Soon): NYSE, NASDAQ real-time data feeds

  • Precious Metals (Coming Soon): COMEX, London Bullion Market

  • Billionaire Net Worth (Coming Soon): Forbes, Bloomberg indexes

  • NFTs (Coming Soon): OpenSea, Blur floor price aggregation

  • Cross-validation algorithms

  • Significant divergence triggers manual review

  • Dispute resolution process

Market Manipulation Prevention:

  • Suspicious pattern monitoring

  • Position limits constrain individual impact ($10-$10,000 beta limits)

  • Governance review for coordinated activities

  • Multiple timeframes make manipulation harder

Circuit Breakers:

  • Automatic pause for impossible data

  • Emergency procedures require governance approval

  • User funds remain secure during pauses

  • Separate controls for each timeframe

Fund Security:

  • Battle-tested smart contract patterns

  • Strict access controls

  • Segregated user funds

  • Protected during upgrades

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